{"id":"W2159893234","doi":"10.1111/gcb.12429","title":"Predicting the sensitivity of butterfly phenology to temperature over the past century","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":90,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa; Université de Sherbrooke; University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Butterfly; Phenology; Sensitivity (control systems); Climatology; Climate change; Environmental science; Physical geography; Geography; Atmospheric sciences; Ecology; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005421821,0.0002465408,0.0002238027,0.0009237164,0.0003529692,0.0005591862,0.0003315311,0.0003077801,0.0006694299],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003142921,0.0001665309,0.0002886444,0.0009577432,0.0002384191,0.0003053507,0.0003168179,0.0003121465,0.0001764885],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001383701,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007698584,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.5503795,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.6661704,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998217,0.00002646021,0.000009068086,0.00007436905,0.00003188808,0.00003647041],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989367,0.0003592088,0.0002725421,0.00007719389,0.0002590197,0.00009526103],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002518744,0.000005064409,0.9878611,0.00002095343,0.00009524378,0.00002143152,0.00009884395,0.003949754,0.001916501,0.00004853043,0.0003541517,0.005603393],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001180364,0.00000497447,0.9929652,0.000004861215,0.00001933404,0.00002072864,0.00008655634,0.006108406,0.000177422,0.0000434161,0.0005635905,0.000004348271],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9938497,0.0006125718,0.001770838,0.0001281812,0.000006859824,0.000007333356,0.002653515,0.00005833159,0.0009125675],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963407,0.0002513558,0.001039409,0.00002863001,0.000007299953,0.00000525831,0.002136741,0.000009815744,0.0001808553],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5503795,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9045368,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02109862304099825,"score_gpt":0.2467362187331902,"score_spread":0.225637595692192,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}