{"id":"W2160294554","doi":"10.1093/ije/dyr023","title":"Commentary: Sinners, preachers and natural experiments","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"International Journal of Epidemiology","topic":"Health Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention","field":"Medicine","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Per capita; Epidemiology; Medicine; Alcohol consumption; Addiction; Demography; Population; Consumption (sociology); Gerontology; Environmental health; Psychiatry; Alcohol; Internal medicine; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00374978,0.0001796922,0.0007808132,0.0002812965,0.00002368973,0.000005828096,0.0002135056,0.0004669198,0.0003077879],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008579468,0.0001422217,0.0004745355,0.00002688746,0.0001342689,0.00009193117,0.00006726147,0.001767883,0.00001286785],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002265562,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009099384,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006122315,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":8.168086e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964336,0.001853809,0.0009601584,0.0002005496,0.0003189831,0.0002328829],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981814,0.0003292469,0.0008217563,0.0001579899,0.0003890307,0.0001205821],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000752706,0.0000511835,0.005074388,0.00005353367,0.00180311,0.0007004968,0.0001255568,2.490596e-7,0.00003373659,0.00003038435,0.9689696,0.02308246],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001619715,0.00030197,0.01282037,0.000389591,0.0002277918,0.004528078,0.00002743508,0.00001255253,0.00003774421,0.0008202578,0.9791026,0.0001119195],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.006801646,0.007379478,0.002221934,0.9779615,0.00484821,0.0002106267,0.00001117617,0.00001237449,0.0005530914],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.01227158,0.001712786,0.003097646,0.9754052,0.006484339,0.00000644166,0.0002902983,0.00002732864,0.0007043498],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02297054,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7680671,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08865165719347698,"score_gpt":0.4068169091673547,"score_spread":0.3181652519738778,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}