{"id":"W2161062360","doi":"10.1002/fut.20495","title":"Small traders in currency futures markets","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Futures Markets","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Futures contract; Economics; Currency; Financial economics; Monetary economics; Liberian dollar; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001280017,0.0001704161,0.0004419275,0.0008966061,0.0004403718,0.001859252,0.0002122208,0.0005506544,0.003152779],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008414633,0.0002415672,0.0002119787,0.0006229838,0.0008561099,0.002083796,0.0007516053,0.0006164205,0.0002102889],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003549262,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002690107,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001352957,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001193448,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997054,0.00008784704,0.000022669,0.00006697374,0.00007773766,0.00003939583],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9944243,0.003469083,0.001284627,0.0002324442,0.000224085,0.0003654087],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001682121,0.0003873576,0.7897801,0.0001855135,0.0003823428,0.00327036,0.009135944,0.02848329,0.01519583,0.07220629,0.001305591,0.07798523],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002038798,0.0004769446,0.5791981,0.00007812639,0.0002570711,0.001983127,0.005340312,0.1718168,0.00461588,0.2297912,0.006113829,0.000124873],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9945477,0.0002857717,0.002536466,0.0001690124,0.000007311374,0.000006532857,0.00001761382,0.000009466513,0.002420075],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9992567,0.00005606128,0.000224154,0.00001021211,0.000007952825,0.000001591558,0.000008517567,0.000001211906,0.0004336154],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003152779,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0105471,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02107504587986135,"score_gpt":0.2214478329245799,"score_spread":0.2003727870447186,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}