{"id":"W2163195397","doi":"10.3386/w10283","title":"Equilibrium Policy Experiments and the Evaluation of Social Programs","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":126,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Political science; Economics; Public economics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02872656,0.00018687,0.0007652766,0.0007277062,0.0001032447,0.00008697679,0.0004597785,0.0003349594,0.0002590649],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002273265,0.0001731967,0.0002305224,0.0002822546,0.0007910476,0.0001460714,0.0002687407,0.0004049978,0.00002311508],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002685044,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003999001,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008017272,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001028624,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9966444,0.0002478567,0.001412131,0.0005062688,0.0008549874,0.0003343466],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962201,0.0003497685,0.001128429,0.0003091006,0.001936602,0.00005605322],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008197907,0.0001009377,0.0009108528,0.0001455181,0.0002307334,1.563836e-7,0.0003270674,0.00007897741,0.000005071221,0.9958594,0.0004711917,0.0017881],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002069588,0.00004904961,0.002869073,0.00003999884,0.00001462347,0.000002434125,0.00005570251,0.001755901,0.00002128375,0.9896964,0.00327045,0.0001555334],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1205281,0.004214263,0.000007023319,0.002592854,0.0004895818,0.001686046,0.0006726031,0.000009403399,0.8698002],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9965824,0.000626491,0.00004788943,0.00001394126,0.0006976139,0.0002125719,0.000355352,0.0000331785,0.001430536],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8760543,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9985884,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.5006539350590478,"score_gpt":0.5369977645717319,"score_spread":0.03634382951268411,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}