{"id":"W2165059636","doi":"10.1177/1079063211407080","title":"Prospective Validity of the Estimate of Risk of Adolescent Sexual Offense Recidivism (ERASOR)","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Sexual Abuse","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":54,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Active Healthy Kids","funders":"","keywords":"Recidivism; Psychology; Inter-rater reliability; Risk assessment; Predictive validity; Demography; Clinical psychology; Psychiatry; Poison control; Injury prevention; Confidence interval; Medicine; Developmental psychology; Medical emergency; Rating scale; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009739532,0.0004221295,0.000773578,0.000197702,0.00009999583,0.000006536085,0.0008355938,0.0002555183,0.0003249518],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002839901,0.0003231119,0.0001792853,0.0006191401,0.0006574968,0.0001210694,0.000158923,0.0005666586,0.00006119507],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006947313,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008476476,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001012717,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002408273,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964117,0.0006511334,0.001091434,0.0006922942,0.0005904482,0.0005629874],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9961421,0.0002967887,0.001435555,0.001685082,0.0002924394,0.0001480555],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001531975,0.002955051,0.8900965,0.0002190819,0.0005450532,0.00001199099,0.06985476,0.00001527536,0.008848839,0.003618751,0.01826655,0.004036119],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002200917,0.001299717,0.9729171,0.0001523102,0.0002860387,0.00003285818,0.006203758,0.00002469671,0.01403445,0.002241226,0.0002209128,0.000386029],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9673378,0.0001930581,0.0002640756,0.00001704763,0.02617838,0.0007653333,0.0003918117,0.00007239688,0.004780113],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9978123,0.00001094941,0.00129133,0.00005076497,0.0003755262,0.00002677752,0.000008289427,0.0000732417,0.0003507777],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.08282053,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999221,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06082394855092768,"score_gpt":0.3031883979134937,"score_spread":0.242364449362566,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}