{"id":"W2167407704","doi":"","title":"Economy Contracting. Business Cycle Report of August 2008","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Austrian Economic Quarterly","topic":"German Economic Analysis & Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Business cycle; Unemployment; Economics; Seasonal adjustment; Consumption (sociology); Private consumption; Tourism; Real wages; Labour economics; Economy; Macroeconomics; Geography; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006721841,0.0004131522,0.001428187,0.000608562,0.000201811,0.00007928083,0.0005980161,0.0002422255,0.002884172],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000778906,0.0005532616,0.0004185938,0.0002251111,0.00036854,0.001000557,0.00004749502,0.000237773,0.004614052],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003798554,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001989941,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004070985,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000195919,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9957343,0.00002985103,0.002647584,0.0008796367,0.00003062507,0.0006779714],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960233,0.000140002,0.00236062,0.001169493,0.00007663762,0.000229947],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002036681,0.0008660359,0.6676517,0.0001701279,0.002639293,0.0005441828,0.006658089,0.004798073,0.0001130959,0.1530136,0.1592932,0.004048887],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.006609034,0.0005203707,0.4937057,0.00005592508,0.0001475977,0.00279416,0.001874836,0.005981789,0.0005268917,0.04773971,0.4370381,0.003005829],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8861592,0.0003288056,0.0005344294,0.001143002,0.0009287714,0.0003189241,0.0001997333,0.0000890773,0.110298],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9902375,0.00006658154,0.0002571939,0.0001862958,0.0005715495,0.00004027584,0.00008609885,0.00007201258,0.008482434],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2777449,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996919,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02629574979845326,"score_gpt":0.2195075256292462,"score_spread":0.193211775830793,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}