{"id":"W2168895318","doi":"","title":"THE USEFULNESS OF CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDICES IN THE U.S.","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Hermeneutics and Narrative Identity","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Consumer confidence index; Economics; Consumption (sociology); Consumer spending; Volatility (finance); Consumption function; Econometrics; Confidence interval; Politics; Affect (linguistics); Value (mathematics); Macroeconomics; Statistics; Psychology; Recession; Production (economics); Mathematics; Political science; Social science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002081781,0.0001846581,0.0002399599,0.001846404,0.0004180261,0.001728103,0.0002583892,0.0004059281,0.001903557],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02081791,0.0001254253,0.0001476694,0.002930352,0.0004186284,0.001323643,0.0005450083,0.0006746748,0.000371192],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001377513,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005034579,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07149083,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06103969,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994177,0.0002729626,0.00003752157,0.00007717032,0.0001454475,0.00004921414],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9861924,0.007598841,0.002279466,0.0006877906,0.002621371,0.0006201136],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003564938,0.00006213105,0.9208738,0.00002848846,0.00006533323,0.00008515958,0.001048319,0.01038767,0.0001005388,0.006873947,0.00477985,0.05533815],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001770442,0.0001595909,0.8945421,0.0001213495,0.00004985651,0.0001077625,0.002377411,0.08564769,0.0006280137,0.00919979,0.007091086,0.00005760458],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.975847,0.0007145415,0.001868136,0.001247736,0.00002458491,0.000008371121,0.001776245,0.00004079473,0.01847257],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984432,0.0001716595,0.0003921163,0.00003324566,0.000007109694,0.000002954995,0.0006313357,0.000003660025,0.0003147572],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07149083,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1421494,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08430742058868047,"score_gpt":0.243376083490812,"score_spread":0.1590686629021315,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}