{"id":"W2169793340","doi":"10.1186/s40345-014-0019-4","title":"Multi-state models for investigating possible stages leading to bipolar disorder","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Bipolar Disorders","topic":"Bipolar Disorder and Treatment","field":"Medicine","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa; University of Toronto; University of Calgary; University of Guelph","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Bipolar disorder; Psychology; Proportional hazards model; Covariate; Psychiatry; Statistics; Clinical psychology; Mood; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007318797,0.0009364831,0.001141165,0.001318957,0.0006191821,0.001333048,0.001730599,0.001455238,0.005435951],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01369614,0.0006412984,0.002227128,0.00113203,0.001011636,0.001335943,0.001297194,0.002279634,0.0004468026],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001430998,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00159844,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009549147,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009085295,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978357,0.001455424,0.00007216913,0.0002737702,0.0001504138,0.0002125549],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.984885,0.01293787,0.001060044,0.0004766702,0.0003970028,0.0002435097],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006233687,0.000226738,0.04973339,0.0002563808,0.0007423103,0.0004144642,0.0008299715,0.8301239,0.0008838244,0.09762604,0.001401422,0.01713816],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006413363,0.0002474276,0.005585748,0.00004264511,0.0001749515,0.00009657669,0.000132236,0.9464085,0.0001902875,0.04559537,0.001419296,0.00004283023],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2513541,0.00180858,0.7395107,0.001797775,0.0001910725,0.000491618,0.001808247,0.0003163945,0.002721606],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9438918,0.001130419,0.04709237,0.0001769206,0.0001349614,0.001020407,0.001155252,0.00003723299,0.005360743],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.009549147,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03870595,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05506971153106937,"score_gpt":0.3397888690789709,"score_spread":0.2847191575479015,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}