{"id":"W2169793340","doi":"10.1186/s40345-014-0019-4","title":"Multi-state models for investigating possible stages leading to bipolar disorder","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Bipolar Disorders","topic":"Bipolar Disorder and Treatment","field":"Medicine","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa; University of Toronto; University of Calgary; University of Guelph","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Bipolar disorder; Psychology; Proportional hazards model; Covariate; Psychiatry; Statistics; Clinical psychology; Mood; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005549943,0.0002703286,0.0004200933,0.0005949245,0.0000914814,0.0001002237,0.0003822455,0.0000867131,0.00001734495],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004924202,0.0002317539,0.0003122883,0.0002437509,0.00007882804,0.0005219267,0.00008937656,0.0002802189,0.00002472122],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002520948,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003974886,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002510306,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006562661,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978119,0.00005537127,0.0006866946,0.0002678759,0.0008126571,0.0003654656],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978162,0.00009979374,0.0003546448,0.0001893668,0.0009859614,0.0005540219],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008208497,0.001544194,0.6415062,0.00008504815,0.001864095,0.00002592402,0.006601429,0.01718958,0.004828153,0.00055675,0.001567657,0.3234102],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.03952204,0.005880114,0.08411086,0.001262941,0.001013227,0.0007530454,0.005079245,0.04317345,0.006555894,0.0204611,0.7905045,0.001683632],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5664006,0.0964231,0.3187114,0.01377687,0.002415862,0.00153658,0.0002605065,0.0001195109,0.0003555125],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9334837,0.002209267,0.06214205,0.0007720663,0.0002929888,0.00003605597,0.00005463777,0.00009700208,0.0009122857],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7889368,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9450651,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05506971153106937,"score_gpt":0.3397888690789709,"score_spread":0.2847191575479015,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}