{"id":"W2175174007","doi":"10.19030/iber.v5i12.3543","title":"Performance Of Deterministic And Stochastic Trends Models In Forecasting The Behavior Of The Canadian Dollar And The Japanese Yen Against The US Dollar","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER)","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Innovative Research Group Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Liberian dollar; Autoregressive integrated moving average; Us dollar; Exchange rate; Econometrics; Economics; Computer science; Time series; Monetary economics; Finance; Machine learning","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006855221,0.001212148,0.0008581349,0.001095037,0.0008944461,0.002087479,0.0007017253,0.001150875,0.0007388358],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01628296,0.0005538669,0.0006987319,0.001183169,0.0005558493,0.001270632,0.0007314277,0.001239136,0.0002240459],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002783966,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004993746,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.4498421,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2334972,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998579,0.0006904554,0.0001286021,0.0002489361,0.0001789675,0.0001741559],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9924182,0.005216145,0.0005944351,0.0004012675,0.001067461,0.0003025205],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005912554,0.0001142745,0.0147944,0.00004240203,0.0001633447,0.00002268315,0.000060031,0.9679266,0.0003937731,0.001235686,0.0006499699,0.01400568],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002295926,0.00005047688,0.004078876,0.000007413359,0.00003039633,0.000004866252,0.0000252522,0.9948505,0.0003123783,0.0005009986,0.00009912912,0.00001677139],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.980527,0.001313719,0.01347319,0.0008004625,0.0000944679,0.00002924437,0.0008035103,0.000322142,0.002636348],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.995271,0.0003236845,0.003178939,0.00004170546,0.00002018963,0.000008737472,0.0007476283,0.00001295142,0.000395188],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5501579,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8944475,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1898252846096694,"score_gpt":0.2805264251941726,"score_spread":0.09070114058450324,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}