{"id":"W2177067054","doi":"10.1038/srep16868","title":"Additional Arctic observations improve weather and sea-ice forecasts for the Northern Sea Route","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Scientific Reports","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":75,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"JST-Mirai Program; Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; National Institute of Polar Research; Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology","keywords":"Sea ice; Climatology; Arctic ice pack; Radiosonde; Arctic; Environmental science; Advection; Arctic sea ice decline; Meteorology; Wind speed; The arctic; Sea ice concentration; Oceanography; Drift ice; Geology; Geography; Sea ice thickness","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005669443,0.0004977303,0.0002956768,0.0002792008,0.0002849298,0.0006885637,0.0001471757,0.0002644271,0.0006816296],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001587092,0.0001927445,0.000455695,0.0002396722,0.00008190714,0.0006614698,0.0003910387,0.0006666915,0.0002597923],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002943116,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001012066,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06361598,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.08664046,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998897,0.00003441168,0.000009363181,0.00002783921,0.00002249465,0.00001607062],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996002,0.0001011522,0.0000577207,0.00006040373,0.0001326683,0.00004791031],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002868536,0.0002031496,0.2214091,0.00006167752,0.0001806147,0.0001480863,0.0001962421,0.6559324,0.0153057,0.0009133668,0.002730718,0.102632],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004553155,0.00006342209,0.09266417,0.00002500924,0.00007697998,0.00001619335,0.00006502927,0.9010814,0.002969709,0.0003332216,0.002624294,0.00003499742],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.983048,0.0001588808,0.01195433,0.0001942853,0.00009997186,0.00002312455,0.00106439,0.0003207201,0.003136305],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9872047,0.0001194678,0.01083355,0.0000162147,0.00002340093,0.000007181781,0.001254003,0.00003248973,0.000509013],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06361598,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1264914,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03003248945050565,"score_gpt":0.2158787102283405,"score_spread":0.1858462207778348,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}