{"id":"W2182796473","doi":"","title":"Short Selling and Default Prediction: International Evidence","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Booth University College","funders":"","keywords":"Equity (law); Credit default swap; Econometrics; Business; Economics; Monetary economics; Financial economics; Actuarial science; Credit risk","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007835834,0.0004148651,0.0005922159,0.001567513,0.0003436361,0.001593392,0.0008779931,0.0006892137,0.005938366],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03842803,0.0002764392,0.0007165467,0.002770286,0.001435603,0.001852949,0.001070771,0.001341666,0.0009435177],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003502806,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002501529,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00631534,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003701106,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979802,0.0008031711,0.0002501892,0.0004542346,0.0003806596,0.0001315613],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8697109,0.076233,0.03818206,0.008491192,0.005803011,0.001579812],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003863668,0.0001091378,0.9673581,0.0001507733,0.0006449716,0.0001907701,0.0002451631,0.003522271,0.00008855363,0.001005671,0.000992767,0.02530548],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005778077,0.000411144,0.9770116,0.0004213416,0.0005676204,0.0005830423,0.0006404701,0.01250198,0.0009041016,0.00294538,0.003908471,0.00004706458],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9679729,0.0106592,0.00294045,0.001727231,0.0000543346,0.00002041774,0.002025234,0.00004922233,0.01455109],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9971182,0.001689469,0.000267401,0.00005747906,0.00004626967,0.000001988831,0.0005897192,0.000006083724,0.0002233444],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007835834,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04144037,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05178291821352263,"score_gpt":0.2327673069772745,"score_spread":0.1809843887637519,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}