{"id":"W2185231403","doi":"","title":"Extrapolative Expectations and House Prices in Canada","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Rational expectations; Econometrics; Value (mathematics); Asset (computer security); Volatility (finance); Series (stratigraphy); Microeconomics; Financial economics; Mathematics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006689022,0.0001729816,0.0002607986,0.0004524558,0.001470094,0.001601781,0.0005802377,0.0003895021,0.002924106],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005352709,0.0001732763,0.0003101657,0.0009177375,0.0009384187,0.000732296,0.0005000343,0.000760405,0.0001306336],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.02884414,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0136004,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9838935,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.974932,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999678,0.0000345542,0.00001018895,0.00004507293,0.0001241026,0.0001081693],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989028,0.0002370549,0.0002561603,0.00005969847,0.000410339,0.0001340087],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008893975,0.0001571177,0.5764173,0.0001143412,0.00022014,0.002053349,0.007188274,0.1728414,0.002086706,0.161613,0.01320577,0.0632131],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009828551,0.00007736357,0.7109227,0.00007385005,0.00008465796,0.0002869259,0.005164546,0.2288942,0.001477043,0.03868061,0.01404222,0.0001974478],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9816227,0.0003666711,0.001175344,0.002077234,0.00001300003,0.00001015535,0.0005292459,0.00004118869,0.01416435],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9987974,0.000126264,0.0001362087,0.00003357073,0.000002863563,8.2683e-7,0.0001088887,0.000004060473,0.0007898639],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02884414,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2092799,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0441545343300234,"score_gpt":0.1801739442456044,"score_spread":0.136019409915581,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}