{"id":"W2185401515","doi":"10.12735/jfe.v4i1p39","title":"The Effects of Global and Regional Shocks on Asian Business Cycle Synchronization","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Finance & Economics","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Synchronicity; East Asia; Business cycle; Synchronization (alternating current); Globalization; Sample (material); Economic geography; Vector autoregression; Economics; Econometrics; Geography; China; Macroeconomics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003049266,0.0001239886,0.0003771573,0.00005431009,0.0001106144,0.00004436895,0.0002309074,0.00008491141,0.000004997961],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002842298,0.00009018052,0.0001059962,0.0001341007,0.0001360624,0.0002535728,0.0000350774,0.00006797203,0.00001802064],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000202474,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006663815,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003881337,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000041961,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988968,0.0000118899,0.0007135679,0.000147202,0.00002943434,0.0002010946],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984621,0.0001343716,0.001069463,0.0001860759,0.0001008162,0.00004714679],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001157816,0.00006432442,0.05600937,0.00003478455,0.00004370428,0.000003338596,0.00009600029,0.0002199955,0.00001345632,0.8944516,0.003053934,0.04589371],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001272481,0.0004350636,0.7300704,0.0002284207,0.00001287326,0.00004905904,0.00002745192,0.0001045766,0.0001317211,0.1349147,0.1325293,0.0002238623],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9881687,0.003646792,0.0009308655,0.003909358,0.0008830745,0.00008478968,0.00006080834,0.000003256818,0.002312363],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9879315,0.01141133,0.0001225953,0.000193625,0.0002357272,0.000001973982,4.227306e-7,0.000009762377,0.00009300876],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7595369,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3677455,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007538651023556688,"score_gpt":0.2010747160614574,"score_spread":0.1935360650379007,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}