{"id":"W2189669585","doi":"10.1115/omae2015-42054","title":"The Northern Sea Route vs the Suez Canal Route: An Economic Analysis Incorporating Probabilistic Simulation Optimization of Vessel Speed","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Arctic and Russian Policy Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Memorial University of Newfoundland","funders":"","keywords":"Crew; Profitability index; Probabilistic logic; Fuel efficiency; Operations research; Marine engineering; Environmental science; Computer science; Train; Transport engineering; Engineering; Automotive engineering; Business; Aeronautics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001474062,0.0007092063,0.0006853095,0.001333877,0.0006611708,0.001625839,0.0009451885,0.001027377,0.002111439],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003775943,0.0006580004,0.001225884,0.001445987,0.0007769875,0.001374719,0.0007202064,0.0008468098,0.0001106183],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003912244,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001907442,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05400534,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03956296,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995111,0.0002597664,0.00001166046,0.00005151522,0.00008160275,0.00008434033],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9976352,0.001738106,0.0002636577,0.00007070386,0.0002092402,0.00008305146],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002883553,0.00001108957,0.000707711,0.000003049026,0.000007511022,0.00002170809,0.000005160197,0.997769,0.00008463473,0.0009121828,0.00003561527,0.000413501],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004474634,0.0000333433,0.000431012,0.000001390198,0.000008450624,0.000005405382,0.00001555646,0.9991024,0.00006443114,0.0002629426,0.00006676828,0.000003837595],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9430377,0.0001890243,0.03892975,0.0003866953,0.00002183062,0.0001008781,0.0002646015,0.00007507216,0.01699448],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.99367,0.0001299346,0.004609783,0.00001530895,0.000005296543,0.00003823223,0.00008471115,0.00001643056,0.001430237],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05400534,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1073819,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04326043312689742,"score_gpt":0.3239628579983237,"score_spread":0.2807024248714263,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}