{"id":"W2208230257","doi":"10.1142/s0217590815500873","title":"INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE ON REAL INTEREST RATE PERSISTENCE","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Singapore Economic Review","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Econometrics; Interest rate; Economics; Real interest rate; Persistence (discontinuity); Structural break; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.003052478,0.0002335425,0.000563207,0.00009803873,0.0000999538,0.0001204679,0.0009104217,0.00005819849,0.001579387],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004617976,0.0001986846,0.0002422217,0.00006033583,0.0001250897,0.0005051538,0.0001234879,0.0002249269,0.01256746],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004921045,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004421327,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004363811,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002735751,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981772,0.00007749684,0.0009117334,0.0004857249,0.00002397459,0.0003239221],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998216,0.0001872262,0.0006304781,0.000776882,0.00001336933,0.0001760923],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003411054,0.0002013119,0.01624995,0.0006990554,0.0007732363,0.00003606258,0.002072968,0.003747565,0.00001533632,0.3435801,0.5981552,0.03412814],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005897063,0.0002372717,0.003625593,0.001926509,0.00004071862,0.00007021104,0.0001080231,0.007419663,0.00003193796,0.01697257,0.9683049,0.0006728853],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3485126,0.08565851,0.0001318471,0.07617586,0.006137794,0.001245774,0.0002930533,0.0001465062,0.481698],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.90338,0.08563764,0.0001026621,0.007125414,0.0006848461,0.00003475916,0.00002667387,0.00003400412,0.00297401],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5548673,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993333,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4466520987861867,"score_gpt":0.3227785879391559,"score_spread":0.1238735108470308,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}