{"id":"W2213126546","doi":"10.34989/tr-101","title":"Database of Sovereign Defaults, 2017","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Default; Sovereign default; Business; Government (linguistics); Bond; Financial system; Sovereignty; Debt; Sovereign debt; Credit risk; Financial stability; Finance; Economics; Database; Political science; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001651596,0.001083711,0.00130037,0.009791104,0.0007382062,0.003289222,0.001323751,0.0007978639,0.05739169],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01389637,0.0004776942,0.0006004494,0.01451993,0.0002615177,0.001603788,0.001633493,0.001499943,0.05291468],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002220401,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005656147,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06055191,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06686903,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977697,0.0001755076,0.0005439455,0.0003647934,0.0008948619,0.0002513248],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9901595,0.001220941,0.001347373,0.001486147,0.004952234,0.000833868],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001316676,0.00001855295,0.005640573,0.0003270106,0.00003305787,0.00003134749,0.00003561009,0.0002415741,0.00006997925,0.001523327,0.9817836,0.01016389],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001675373,0.00002301915,0.03514446,0.000355807,0.00004097156,0.0001065634,0.0001404415,0.0008519303,0.0003943988,0.002180784,0.9605487,0.00004546202],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"dataset","genre_gemma":"dataset","genre_scores_codex":[0.0004086493,0.0001249808,0.0001001643,0.0000709356,0.0000386839,0.00001815604,0.9968746,0.0002385598,0.002125293],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.001243572,0.0001782498,0.0002289486,0.00002729907,0.00002803625,0.00004987717,0.9968184,0.00004748808,0.001378119],"genre_candidate":"dataset","genre_consensus":"dataset","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9394481,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1919943,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05696119087144637,"score_gpt":0.3664189526260783,"score_spread":0.309457761754632,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}