{"id":"W2220861217","doi":"10.1002/wcc.380","title":"Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":782,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Impact; Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions","funders":"Met Office; Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK Government; European Commission; Newton Fund","keywords":"Attribution; Climate change; Extreme weather; Event (particle physics); Climatology; Environmental science; Geography; Environmental resource management; Psychology; Ecology; Social psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.003230381,0.0009339514,0.003581173,0.0001618724,0.0002176843,0.00002926816,0.0006571258,0.000625228,0.00295199],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004215061,0.000699856,0.0008519613,0.0006025885,0.0003524148,0.0005100795,0.004719432,0.0005241648,0.001776572],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005933599,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002089214,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001999423,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004515058,"domain_scores_codex":[0.994615,0.0007089794,0.002220255,0.001144963,0.000438842,0.0008719808],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9969577,0.0001064639,0.001480134,0.001092798,0.00003207965,0.0003307961],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002643971,0.00033546,0.0006351385,0.02593403,0.00006096952,0.00001224556,0.001778297,7.866024e-7,0.000003825108,0.0001290678,0.001221711,0.969862],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000306654,0.0002422468,0.00008451424,0.04268124,0.001000801,0.0001275507,0.00006945595,0.0001123402,2.092634e-7,0.0005198026,0.9541051,0.0007500353],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.0004102264,0.9917356,0.000007571458,0.00006890183,0.0005107764,0.003665007,0.0009964377,0.00007639059,0.002529103],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.00005879053,0.997764,0.0001530153,0.00003108918,0.0001156788,0.0008147449,0.0008315658,0.0001003563,0.0001307472],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.969112,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9995453,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2031099080887185,"score_gpt":0.3748440042231992,"score_spread":0.1717340961344808,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}