{"id":"W2246449078","doi":"","title":"Crisis continues to smoulder","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Austerity; Economics; German; Private consumption; Unemployment; German economy; Real gross domestic product; Quarter (Canadian coin); Forecast period; Financial crisis; Consumption (sociology); Monetary economics; Economy; Macroeconomics; Fiscal policy; Geography; Production (economics); Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002257521,0.0002176726,0.0004004002,0.0005724583,0.0003439063,0.0004065947,0.00102418,0.0004869236,0.0006365982],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007558623,0.0002360291,0.0001388682,0.0001962739,0.0003410129,0.0001246725,0.0009533698,0.0009827458,0.0003397217],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009533197,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001311476,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007423768,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005489423,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970441,0.0004375697,0.000432808,0.0006719406,0.0004411734,0.0009723749],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982808,0.0004656855,0.00009922621,0.0005199005,0.0002181526,0.000416276],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001018871,0.000237246,0.03212381,0.0001659613,0.0002566645,0.0000412808,0.06426089,0.000887699,0.00004273481,0.05910487,0.2050379,0.637739],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001324758,0.00001731932,0.01082579,0.00008556405,0.000002578514,3.585064e-7,0.004349867,0.00003524206,0.00001931729,0.01183441,0.9723548,0.0003422641],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3300757,0.00007046974,8.029507e-7,0.01696236,0.000620263,0.0009702332,0.0000149995,0.00005022455,0.651235],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8144491,0.02254643,0.001698511,0.002104028,0.002056822,0.001003823,0.00005104355,0.00009542598,0.1559948],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7673169,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9991859,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06659204876629059,"score_gpt":0.3978404447809254,"score_spread":0.3312483960146348,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}