{"id":"W2249668415","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2208083","title":"Inferring Beliefs from Actions","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Epistemology; Political science; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003082558,0.0009164031,0.0008815633,0.002798805,0.0006946192,0.003075022,0.001254734,0.001745253,0.00738662],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03843063,0.0009540929,0.001599543,0.001355743,0.001751334,0.00481839,0.001478207,0.003484438,0.001093903],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001122844,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001311833,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005161653,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005675946,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977223,0.001097979,0.0001156217,0.0005234385,0.0004264161,0.0001142122],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.976755,0.01978775,0.0008824353,0.00147109,0.0007781849,0.0003255076],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006396028,0.0005185812,0.02652188,0.0005453004,0.0006399866,0.000552435,0.001378115,0.09286376,0.002920636,0.6214934,0.007474175,0.2444522],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005445836,0.00006094226,0.003079759,0.0001159894,0.0001582387,0.0001388687,0.0001486209,0.2976851,0.001380025,0.694728,0.002410489,0.00003960056],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.0769904,0.0009538737,0.9048489,0.003838107,0.0001639141,0.0001061746,0.0009619603,0.0005482078,0.01158846],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8535269,0.001275311,0.1387381,0.0004453487,0.0001774399,0.0001296325,0.001239454,0.00008867736,0.004378951],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.00738662,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02471071,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0183931412924105,"score_gpt":0.244433655009035,"score_spread":0.2260405137166245,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}