{"id":"W2253074389","doi":"","title":"Worst Quarter of State Tax Revenue Decline","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Revenue; Tax revenue; State (computer science); Economics; Government revenue; Government (linguistics); Business; Finance; Public economics; Geography; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008700549,0.0001843312,0.0002816512,0.0021173,0.001706099,0.003789671,0.0003464088,0.0009603546,0.006348065],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004522059,0.0001433898,0.0002841739,0.002783011,0.0004902301,0.001820115,0.001019038,0.001843929,0.001446228],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002380833,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001827109,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02678743,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04467956,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993297,0.00005694877,0.00003819066,0.00008045037,0.0002667498,0.0002279835],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9975448,0.0002692525,0.0007738918,0.000119562,0.0009838307,0.0003086439],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004984154,0.0002360332,0.2921589,0.0001950349,0.0000873129,0.0007896866,0.003294028,0.001851759,0.0006969045,0.04885156,0.5282893,0.1230511],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001793583,0.0001507051,0.6707531,0.0002356205,0.00003616143,0.0005641617,0.006496774,0.001550762,0.001401087,0.006055791,0.3126953,0.00004269758],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6842273,0.004934512,0.0007756616,0.04790328,0.00231429,0.00003854122,0.01282836,0.0003474419,0.2466306],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.962765,0.00208818,0.000122516,0.003331662,0.0006766062,0.00001803065,0.006150217,0.00008866233,0.02475906],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02678743,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05326301,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01826285785816856,"score_gpt":0.2029011888729665,"score_spread":0.184638331014798,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}