{"id":"W2266920115","doi":"10.1111/infi.12073","title":"Food Price Uncertainty and Political Conflict","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Finance","topic":"International Development and Aid","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Global Affairs Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Commodity; Economics; Politics; Price shock; Civil Conflict; Macroeconomics; Food prices; International economics; Food security; Monetary economics; Market economy; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002849465,0.00005666422,0.00005807443,0.0000447124,0.0000864371,0.00006545553,0.0002065003,0.00004066198,0.00006904345],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004243218,0.00005663851,0.00001903155,0.00006228135,0.0001432722,0.0001893095,0.0000485358,0.00006381607,0.00007653249],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001667325,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002080517,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006040225,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002349709,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991234,0.00002608724,0.0001194967,0.0001346817,0.0004101928,0.0001861457],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994799,0.00007519258,0.00003880524,0.00004045526,0.0002747324,0.00009094663],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001515974,0.00001448078,0.005265607,5.859355e-7,0.0000103678,0.000003078088,0.001416696,0.000006408507,0.000004275484,0.9904858,0.002133521,0.0006439585],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002986137,0.00003950615,0.01403028,0.00001611711,0.000001488719,0.000003877036,0.0006405656,0.000186933,0.00005868067,0.0510224,0.9335964,0.0001051674],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3062546,0.0001040286,0.0002748309,0.02464832,0.001299536,0.00009263919,0.00002083088,0.00004587183,0.6672594],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9914712,0.00004198189,0.000543904,0.0007882363,0.0003656695,0.000009191886,0.000008854555,0.000003831288,0.006767141],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9394634,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2309651,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0491395140795099,"score_gpt":0.3331829863343619,"score_spread":0.284043472254852,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}