{"id":"W2288622246","doi":"10.5539/mas.v10n3p12","title":"Designing Ex Ant Evaluation of Policy Model","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Modern Applied Science","topic":"Delphi Technique in Research","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Cohesion (chemistry); Context (archaeology); Computer science; Policy analysis; Delphi method; Delphi; Key (lock); Quality (philosophy); Management science; Process management; Operations research; Environmental economics; Business; Political science; Economics; Public administration; Artificial intelligence; Computer security; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01229418,0.0000758622,0.0001071656,0.0003523101,0.0004428729,0.00006046969,0.0009823333,0.00006106008,0.00004140926],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001517373,0.00005685614,0.00002647048,0.001087953,0.001977346,0.0003337778,0.0001655575,0.00006863952,0.00002917883],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006697802,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003505636,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003059973,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00006658464,"domain_scores_codex":[0.995694,0.0001018698,0.000194094,0.0003669593,0.003119925,0.0005231524],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986636,0.0001736157,0.00009619495,0.0003557361,0.0005581146,0.0001527437],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000005176347,0.00001854368,0.00004264391,0.000001650887,8.771866e-7,1.118725e-7,0.003354727,0.0006998901,0.8306503,0.05527497,0.0000635925,0.1098876],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002606295,0.00001444221,0.0002001691,0.00002713522,0.00000590916,2.805242e-7,0.000646269,0.3782798,0.2245347,0.3958087,0.00007469056,0.0001472908],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.06815377,0.00001330605,0.7590987,0.001389193,0.00002873317,0.0005764293,0.000002786072,0.00009445819,0.1706426],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9876111,0.00001491388,0.01190268,0.00004119323,0.00005474672,0.00006452212,1.02447e-7,0.000007771137,0.0003030362],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9194573,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7285613,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2745456879419312,"score_gpt":0.4991384302926234,"score_spread":0.2245927423506922,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}