{"id":"W2289324697","doi":"","title":"What Scenarios for the Euro-Mediterranean in 2030 in the Wake of the Post-Arab Spring?","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Authoritarianism; Mediterranean climate; Spring (device); Political science; Wake; Economy; Turning point; Economics; Political economy; Geography; Politics; Engineering; Democracy; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004329526,0.0000853194,0.0001008001,0.00006910496,0.0003875249,0.00006926454,0.0009660391,0.00005416636,0.00002454923],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001887368,0.00004040647,0.0001102872,0.0003191725,0.0001920152,0.000261897,0.00003076595,0.0008564137,0.00000526189],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002290535,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001872672,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002725547,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.08036325,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979542,0.0002886643,0.0002393788,0.00009088327,0.0003587216,0.001068151],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993739,0.0002579627,0.0001410569,0.0001366066,0.00006365283,0.00002687932],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002061236,0.0001659606,0.04221185,0.0000101278,0.00009417605,0.000003966429,0.2710678,0.00001830598,0.00009451556,0.6242761,0.001099624,0.06075144],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001681236,0.0003249598,0.3463309,0.0002124211,0.00004692729,0.00009765225,0.1540645,0.00008201053,0.00008343577,0.3652653,0.131462,0.0003487317],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9455939,0.00286288,0.00004407181,0.04620837,0.001025581,0.0006557638,0.000001265798,0.000006417806,0.003601753],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9916326,0.006142716,0.00001166793,0.0008639382,0.0003617504,0.00001221957,3.344853e-7,0.000007682567,0.0009670547],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.304119,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9364177,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04081502392908421,"score_gpt":0.2943799599556189,"score_spread":0.2535649360265347,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}