{"id":"W2289324697","doi":"","title":"What Scenarios for the Euro-Mediterranean in 2030 in the Wake of the Post-Arab Spring?","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Authoritarianism; Mediterranean climate; Spring (device); Political science; Wake; Economy; Turning point; Economics; Political economy; Geography; Politics; Engineering; Democracy; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002610341,0.0003994862,0.0003561202,0.0003339187,0.002491195,0.005110918,0.0008151309,0.005924402,0.01175413],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002370723,0.0001925113,0.000443833,0.0003417808,0.002084884,0.006439628,0.002607903,0.002293245,0.001254767],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002921424,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002159281,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009281447,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01317198,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991497,0.0004002338,0.00001699266,0.00006565023,0.00005939081,0.0003079094],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996184,0.00006652419,0.00005559586,0.00001786943,0.00006895724,0.0001725631],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004844466,0.0001571852,0.006300258,0.0002758401,0.00007889527,0.003142664,0.004337878,0.004403139,0.0009088271,0.8876299,0.06964363,0.02263738],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001398147,0.000166115,0.01479456,0.0004784467,0.00003332124,0.0009184205,0.04510197,0.004226788,0.0008123497,0.4146393,0.5185713,0.0001175874],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2169112,0.01542862,0.003128298,0.4579614,0.002460154,0.00007205101,0.0009927031,0.0001017216,0.3029438],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9642474,0.003343663,0.001598333,0.0191295,0.0002561047,0.00007778447,0.0001640862,0.00003510658,0.011148],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01175413,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03932148,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04081502392908421,"score_gpt":0.2943799599556189,"score_spread":0.2535649360265347,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}