{"id":"W2298184110","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2594354","title":"Innovations in the Crude Oil Market: Sentiment, Exploration and Production Methods","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Trinity College","funders":"Enterprise Ireland","keywords":"Production (economics); Crude oil; Business; Natural resource economics; Petroleum engineering; Economics; Engineering; Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003107615,0.0003662526,0.0004682317,0.001303331,0.0001900103,0.001438342,0.0004223482,0.0005637946,0.002808705],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01806672,0.0002587287,0.0005788488,0.000939361,0.0005752981,0.001954717,0.0008974612,0.000653967,0.0002071887],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000410194,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004804163,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001748656,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00122033,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994381,0.0003047589,0.0000322179,0.00008463841,0.00009745798,0.00004289802],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9912772,0.00741238,0.0005403669,0.0002624243,0.000377458,0.0001302219],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005667728,0.0002269441,0.1200657,0.0004510986,0.0003455587,0.0004394114,0.0009914147,0.1846006,0.007317137,0.2890567,0.002789918,0.3931487],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000350299,0.0001282328,0.02615831,0.00005761179,0.00006447238,0.0001035377,0.0002016807,0.8879941,0.001788331,0.08106936,0.002356576,0.00004288357],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.638584,0.002217235,0.3492061,0.001104093,0.0001009202,0.0000910996,0.0004138724,0.0001744887,0.008108133],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9781462,0.00127681,0.01592202,0.00003677785,0.0001558424,0.00003479992,0.000219676,0.00003650261,0.004171249],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003107615,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01643485,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05081194496417855,"score_gpt":0.2929565531924727,"score_spread":0.2421446082282941,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}