{"id":"W2298501404","doi":"","title":"What Changes Deflationary Expectations? Evidence from Japanese Household-level Data","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Deflation; Economics; Consumption (sociology); Price level; Monetary economics; Quantitative easing; Quarter (Canadian coin); Order (exchange); Rational expectations; Monetary policy; Keynesian economics; Central bank","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004507479,0.0002527926,0.0003566524,0.001019622,0.0004044666,0.001254338,0.0005192524,0.0005627493,0.002028817],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02172901,0.0002334822,0.0003780918,0.002742716,0.0005572817,0.001154579,0.0008692913,0.0006641371,0.0003998387],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005358699,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005116469,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02272899,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01654126,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972754,0.0009745893,0.0004887917,0.0005058711,0.0005346601,0.0002207447],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9609677,0.01196158,0.01588638,0.003967066,0.006260438,0.0009567861],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002122602,0.00004287758,0.9764197,0.0001679307,0.0001897902,0.0001457084,0.001763056,0.0002607416,0.0003255151,0.0006576422,0.002048588,0.01776607],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000009402575,0.00004100344,0.9934999,0.00003602537,0.0000778257,0.00005494433,0.00127306,0.0008590232,0.0002937977,0.0003468622,0.003492083,0.00001625672],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9876726,0.001594273,0.0008845872,0.00129045,0.00004299459,0.00001664889,0.002516984,0.00002574793,0.005955587],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9959028,0.0006590891,0.000274261,0.0002173621,0.00005282404,0.000009570284,0.002560046,0.000008665281,0.0003153291],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02272899,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04519337,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4217509919037313,"score_gpt":0.357226907024112,"score_spread":0.06452408487961936,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}