{"id":"W2300829124","doi":"10.1017/s1930297500007580","title":"Predictions on the go: Prevalence of spontaneous spending predictions","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Judgment and Decision Making","topic":"Mental Health Research Topics","field":"Psychology","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Wilfrid Laurier University; Carleton University","funders":"","keywords":"Payment; Everyday life; Economics; Personality; Psychology; Econometrics; Demographic economics; Social psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006015929,0.00009160714,0.0001060171,0.0001280777,0.0002497349,0.00001864117,0.0001787416,0.00006018487,0.003721091],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001819593,0.00004928428,0.00004204838,0.0001271318,0.00009529776,0.00005956973,0.0001038161,0.0001331347,0.0001909696],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00008733512,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001604023,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000006128547,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000008983072,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986563,0.00009964759,0.0003054794,0.0002561237,0.0004264715,0.000256011],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9976351,0.001767828,0.0001019097,0.0003844071,0.000030786,0.00007999539],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001269151,0.0004557303,0.04638271,0.000145995,0.00008658549,0.0001764186,0.001353385,0.0000307468,0.0008819617,0.1517215,0.03174772,0.7657481],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002911671,0.002407701,0.8933636,0.004902612,0.00009758647,0.000806138,0.00137313,0.002154434,0.0003718665,0.04616741,0.0449844,0.000459453],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9374884,0.0004137759,0.01838193,0.001131062,0.001196721,0.0007483402,0.00008362748,0.00005625528,0.04049985],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9946335,0.0002065018,0.000513714,0.0001172723,0.0001203299,0.00004959969,4.341016e-7,0.00001008022,0.004348589],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8469809,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9971896,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1010208209390489,"score_gpt":0.4150113396228284,"score_spread":0.3139905186837795,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}