{"id":"W2300859625","doi":"10.58079/ouhr","title":"Time horizon in forecasting, and rules of thumb","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"OpenEdition (OpenEdition)","topic":"Rough Sets and Fuzzy Logic","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; AXA Research Fund","keywords":"Rule of thumb; Humanities; Philosophy; Horizon; Economics; Mathematics; Algorithm","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01331044,0.001029026,0.001472464,0.002976821,0.001008065,0.005312888,0.002034306,0.002521478,0.003488088],"category_scores_gemma":[0.05240432,0.0005455607,0.001328819,0.003292798,0.003530083,0.00678007,0.001415633,0.00383313,0.0006854688],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00310124,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001827593,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009111974,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008306978,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9917252,0.004471936,0.0007000949,0.001188072,0.001614631,0.0002999361],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9764748,0.01949514,0.001317916,0.0008251173,0.00149768,0.0003893165],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002111602,0.00006803199,0.002726184,0.0006170002,0.0002108531,0.0002850837,0.0007702389,0.08984344,0.00018159,0.7199262,0.0185277,0.1666324],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003602336,0.00005981823,0.0009747269,0.0004067054,0.00004937262,0.0001334321,0.0002521287,0.07991978,0.0001929302,0.8961475,0.02174287,0.00008480402],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02498657,0.06008086,0.8080878,0.02871665,0.005606039,0.0002497378,0.0008239723,0.0004872644,0.0709611],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6384517,0.01701642,0.3279607,0.003737761,0.002410692,0.000341949,0.0003399162,0.0001061532,0.009634702],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01331044,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0703932,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03546136772007721,"score_gpt":0.2208442610697475,"score_spread":0.1853828933496703,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}