{"id":"W2320944445","doi":"10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044011","title":"Historically hottest summers projected to be the norm for more than half of the world’s population within 20 years","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Environmental Research Letters","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":29,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions; University of Victoria; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"U.S. Department of Energy","keywords":"Environmental science; Population; Climatology; Mediterranean climate; Mean radiant temperature; Greenhouse gas; Geography; Forcing (mathematics); Climate change; Demography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000654044,0.0003321822,0.0001953092,0.000394123,0.0003469224,0.0004774227,0.0005654109,0.0003861768,0.003032892],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002316093,0.000210608,0.000841991,0.0006804077,0.0003046072,0.0007849752,0.0004582626,0.0005626005,0.0003317508],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006446096,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001066078,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03069315,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02525341,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997641,0.00006701576,0.00001290953,0.00008048757,0.00003814512,0.00003739584],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994998,0.0001279117,0.0001291461,0.00008820738,0.0001051318,0.00004986346],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001871784,0.00006471601,0.1610483,0.00009837513,0.0002069965,0.0001763383,0.0002310193,0.7983334,0.00154872,0.01272084,0.005440296,0.01994381],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007207128,0.0002150223,0.1435426,0.00006447428,0.0001953729,0.0002977077,0.0006190514,0.8172482,0.002389739,0.02309547,0.0121561,0.0001041727],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9384493,0.0002770631,0.04198609,0.001037758,0.000116544,0.00005531535,0.0086665,0.0003435565,0.009067843],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9851989,0.0001922169,0.009958362,0.00005372589,0.00001933595,0.00004971117,0.003695799,0.00002387649,0.000807963],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03069315,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06102896,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05148025351776613,"score_gpt":0.3055201546873484,"score_spread":0.2540399011695822,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}