{"id":"W2327218340","doi":"10.1111/jofi.12047","title":"The Business Cycle, Investor Sentiment, and Costly External Finance","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Journal of Finance","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":355,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Cash flow; Recession; Limiting; Monetary economics; Business cycle; Investment (military); Debt; Finance; Economics; Business; Corporate finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008700954,0.000192707,0.0003818621,0.0005116206,0.0002433284,0.001333406,0.0001607381,0.0005313086,0.003867847],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006320201,0.0001559996,0.0002052561,0.0005886346,0.0004996193,0.0006659815,0.0004755272,0.0005682164,0.0002426901],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006564179,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000306815,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004028481,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003577951,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998339,0.00004830801,0.00001505848,0.00002475038,0.00002836966,0.00004959567],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9918127,0.002675815,0.00434379,0.0001670726,0.0003123617,0.0006882948],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004489018,0.0002538124,0.9631146,0.00006722089,0.0001652326,0.000300279,0.00009759274,0.007630446,0.0008798295,0.009337946,0.001678823,0.01602538],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004093837,0.0001560959,0.9691144,0.00004601692,0.00007785313,0.0001129023,0.0002358743,0.01574929,0.0002877152,0.01274952,0.001411436,0.00001787041],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9933479,0.0007276909,0.0004127345,0.0008132869,0.00001627594,0.00001346144,0.0002707631,0.00000581193,0.004392053],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990757,0.0002444603,0.00004348343,0.00005658644,0.00002062995,0.000003269821,0.000112146,0.000001922192,0.0004418791],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004028481,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01293921,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01758318050360339,"score_gpt":0.199143689618024,"score_spread":0.1815605091144206,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}