{"id":"W2327301400","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2754135","title":"Collective Risk Models with Dependence Uncertainty","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Probability and Risk Models","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich","keywords":"Econometrics; Economics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01110046,0.0002168657,0.0003330456,0.0002267131,0.0006651544,0.0001834878,0.001162654,0.0001133067,0.0001047146],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001326471,0.00009504634,0.0001710168,0.0007098241,0.0002513652,0.00113686,0.00009480838,0.001405053,0.0001541257],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002440947,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01119618,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001607164,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00676744,"domain_scores_codex":[0.994288,0.000598873,0.0005627204,0.0005886757,0.00165731,0.002304384],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9968796,0.001177989,0.0004722166,0.0005632067,0.0007050832,0.0002019127],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001647618,0.0002244243,0.01643153,0.000001412984,0.000343758,0.00001887085,0.001712476,0.04362525,0.000248835,0.59319,0.0004416684,0.3421142],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001031592,0.0005793441,0.0004350403,0.00002142992,0.00002586322,0.000432725,0.0009340866,0.005225343,0.00009476797,0.9906751,0.0003426601,0.0002020692],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2957388,0.0007598201,0.6989626,0.001424909,0.0001138642,0.0001769358,0.00001380108,0.00003346464,0.002775875],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9868227,0.001894994,0.0006093563,0.00006261466,0.0001135774,0.000009793414,1.568545e-7,0.00001559138,0.01047122],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6983532,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9944094,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04338556244284354,"score_gpt":0.3073210761379586,"score_spread":0.2639355136951151,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}