{"id":"W2340364769","doi":"10.1017/cbo9780511920943.022","title":"Scenario development for decision making","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Cambridge University Press eBooks","topic":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Development (topology); Computer science; Operations research; Engineering; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005890014,0.002392193,0.001034155,0.00227431,0.001435879,0.007320034,0.002935496,0.003370442,0.07566493],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01463893,0.0009056152,0.001270951,0.003599231,0.003199227,0.008598528,0.005309699,0.00439228,0.01540555],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004190871,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002895061,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002530411,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003526778,"domain_scores_codex":[0.995829,0.002910366,0.0002020705,0.0003159403,0.0006086268,0.0001339275],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.993515,0.005025565,0.0001630783,0.0005872822,0.0005161403,0.0001928521],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001442583,0.00002916967,0.00008239394,0.0005739422,0.00004527807,0.0001357596,0.0004678149,0.01038589,0.0001472407,0.8224237,0.06818146,0.09751293],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007893716,0.000007389453,0.00004001259,0.0005188176,0.000008581862,0.00006136636,0.0002908601,0.006046637,0.0001157966,0.7869399,0.205948,0.00001473113],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.001207271,0.01712164,0.5432191,0.01542435,0.001492543,0.0003502731,0.001263351,0.001229012,0.4186924],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.09776637,0.03142674,0.745501,0.003480079,0.001163132,0.00201977,0.003714266,0.001337655,0.113591],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07566493,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2531244,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1770281912788368,"score_gpt":0.3148455446107069,"score_spread":0.1378173533318701,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}