{"id":"W238276039","doi":"","title":"From a Soft Patch to Recession for Industrial Countries","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"˜The œjournal of business forecasting","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Monetization; Recession; Emerging markets; Current account; Business cycle; Debt; Real gross domestic product; Gross domestic product; Exchange rate; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008719803,0.0008130176,0.0003113817,0.002159127,0.001180261,0.006277008,0.0003843727,0.001482035,0.01286326],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001865896,0.0001803175,0.0004919659,0.003572528,0.0009271769,0.007503163,0.002706976,0.002167542,0.002678915],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002174513,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002024613,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009531012,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01295333,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996811,0.00003719956,0.000027699,0.00005546521,0.00008119368,0.0001174598],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988787,0.00005861999,0.0002629664,0.00004268511,0.0003369155,0.0004202012],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003187555,0.00009401362,0.07926341,0.00161052,0.0000653058,0.0007122567,0.003175074,0.001746122,0.001247076,0.049359,0.4355282,0.4268803],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002137431,0.000360708,0.256887,0.003737599,0.00007185966,0.001107074,0.01583478,0.001413256,0.0005907103,0.02705059,0.6928039,0.0001211446],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.207008,0.192892,0.005271425,0.288662,0.01575939,0.0001990029,0.01985783,0.001173652,0.2691766],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7772652,0.1479189,0.004115832,0.01968592,0.00469137,0.0001133458,0.00955815,0.0003027483,0.03634871],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01286326,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04303187,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1001878655992294,"score_gpt":0.3094362730602712,"score_spread":0.2092484074610417,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}