{"id":"W2405211609","doi":"10.1002/ecs2.1351","title":"Population trends for North American winter birds based on hierarchical models","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecosphere","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":77,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Breeding bird survey; Range (aeronautics); Population; Geography; Habitat; Population size; Ecology; Latitude; Bird conservation; Biology; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004698698,0.000759962,0.0008540192,0.002621475,0.001158102,0.001691349,0.00233334,0.0007257855,0.007001776],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007684636,0.0007163795,0.002254039,0.001742323,0.001073976,0.00131996,0.001138798,0.001445378,0.0009089879],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001796328,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001100922,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1270984,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1252615,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983487,0.0007403896,0.00006439795,0.0005391539,0.0001178672,0.0001895203],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9959887,0.00227213,0.000778848,0.0003028957,0.000374894,0.0002824284],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004701315,0.000285509,0.3158639,0.0001207518,0.001221617,0.0003231881,0.001520519,0.6191287,0.0008673566,0.01977198,0.005896922,0.03452952],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002183257,0.00004578266,0.02531262,0.00001878313,0.00007896937,0.00004431741,0.0001128713,0.9682593,0.0000297699,0.005450184,0.0006076684,0.00001794933],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8744425,0.0006233804,0.1157343,0.0008703875,0.00007960171,0.0001642663,0.002532623,0.000546613,0.005006304],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9828838,0.0001982437,0.01069425,0.0001045223,0.00005154921,0.0001250892,0.00184935,0.00007609012,0.004017118],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1270984,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2527172,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0223258282443266,"score_gpt":0.248009495673825,"score_spread":0.2256836674294984,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}