{"id":"W2407090803","doi":"10.1080/03155986.2005.11732714","title":"Old World VS. New World: Evolution of Nobel Prize Shares","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"INFOR Information Systems and Operational Research","topic":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Geography; Economic history; History; Economic geography; Political science; Regional science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["scholarly_communication","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.007254218,0.0001340133,0.0002601985,0.002866662,0.0005115663,0.001206556,0.0004382846,0.00008244588,0.001036761],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003325921,0.0001006502,0.00005767339,0.003253268,0.0001331903,0.004310489,0.0002103929,0.000291526,0.0008754451],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001870582,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006073291,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004729466,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003188903,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9940177,0.0001344745,0.001818842,0.0001935287,0.003511401,0.0003240448],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9945239,0.0008748523,0.0003959024,0.0003258671,0.003694475,0.0001849466],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001208615,0.00002636162,0.009321278,0.00003940162,0.00001308364,2.369959e-7,0.00173446,0.004668299,0.000187224,0.7886006,0.1283832,0.066905],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007728995,0.00005555851,0.02010639,0.00009193978,0.000001519862,0.00000966623,0.001240295,0.1006203,0.0002144682,0.0008481618,0.8758976,0.0001412394],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3387758,0.00092636,0.03989063,0.01610988,0.001864681,0.003956404,0.0003930536,0.0001966959,0.5978866],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9340652,0.000008023922,0.001335851,0.000426345,0.0003538079,0.00003972476,0.00005743641,0.000005922701,0.06370765],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7877524,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999025,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1784254258486604,"score_gpt":0.4268244135875996,"score_spread":0.2483989877389392,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}