{"id":"W2415908667","doi":"10.1038/ncomms11721","title":"Shifting El Niño inhibits summer Arctic warming and Arctic sea-ice melting over the Canada Basin","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Communications","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":85,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Beijing Normal University; National Natural Science Foundation of China; National Supercomputer Centre in Guangzhou; Nanjing University; University of Washington","keywords":"Arctic geoengineering; Arctic dipole anomaly; Arctic; Climatology; Teleconnection; Arctic ice pack; Environmental science; Arctic sea ice decline; Polar vortex; Sea ice; Circumpolar star; Global warming; Atmospheric sciences; Climate change; Atmospheric circulation; Oceanography; Troposphere; Geology; Antarctic sea ice; El Niño Southern Oscillation","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006073252,0.0001132448,0.0001003424,0.00001575965,0.0007014371,0.00003618495,0.0006553216,0.0001044678,0.0001735294],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007403247,0.00007125815,0.00002880937,0.0002015843,0.0002622977,0.0002076472,0.0009045164,0.0005383706,0.00001301034],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000356644,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005428226,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2318769,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.7286484,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998929,0.0001905539,0.0001945479,0.0002196086,0.0002245614,0.0002417834],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970829,0.001592541,0.00008885653,0.001135754,0.00002283552,0.00007705869],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008368382,0.00009277883,0.9741039,0.00003105553,0.0000332306,0.000001160961,0.001730785,0.000106814,0.006837208,0.006175018,0.002179679,0.008699958],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006636677,0.00001771581,0.8635485,0.0003325775,0.00009747539,0.00002702888,0.0006502624,0.007218986,0.0007874644,0.003824782,0.1222868,0.0005447008],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9677888,0.0006734163,0.00005769862,0.02776743,0.00009261996,0.000226843,0.00002824094,0.00002923288,0.00333568],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9965758,0.0001824722,0.001097651,0.00199136,0.00002151643,0.00001950693,0.000006882184,0.00001246885,0.00009230366],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4967715,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7732381,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02262318253038278,"score_gpt":0.271536252281752,"score_spread":0.2489130697513693,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}