{"id":"W2466946399","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2808816","title":"Impacts from Delaying Access to Retirement Benefits on Welfare Receipt and Expenditure: Evidence from a Natural Experiment","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Retirement, Disability, and Employment","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Manitoba","funders":"","keywords":"Receipt; Welfare; Natural experiment; Natural (archaeology); Economics; Public economics; Demographic economics; Labour economics; Actuarial science; Medicine; Geography; Accounting","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001647499,0.000271685,0.0002702659,0.00009007357,0.001049986,0.0004174164,0.0007158594,0.0001103238,0.0003971661],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004755689,0.0001869424,0.0001136644,0.0001480857,0.000118798,0.0008375137,0.0001762022,0.0006115028,0.00003485892],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003876899,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006538922,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0111124,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0333795,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9954985,0.0003478616,0.0004082548,0.000568201,0.001041939,0.002135199],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986919,0.0002486691,0.0002041693,0.0003159578,0.0001003159,0.0004390526],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002207854,0.0006220745,0.2531342,0.00001840866,0.0008446598,0.00002202295,0.0469988,0.00002832371,0.03258512,0.04995331,0.0034251,0.6101602],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00936774,0.006302912,0.5008808,0.007408939,0.0005014088,0.00003265577,0.1277309,0.00003126942,0.05403822,0.2561093,0.03286859,0.004727318],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9609464,0.009202739,0.0001748498,0.02798623,0.0008506381,0.0004915709,0.00001390165,0.0000462663,0.0002874026],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9869305,0.0115563,0.00006454569,0.000427253,0.000813938,0.00003973869,0.000003048849,0.00002321827,0.0001413946],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6054329,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999947,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1310922888957148,"score_gpt":0.4091671636877286,"score_spread":0.2780748747920138,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}