{"id":"W2470063569","doi":"10.1080/00036846.2015.1105929","title":"Macroeconomic effects of terms of trade fluctuations in commodity exporting advanced economies","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Applied Economics","topic":"Natural Resources and Economic Development","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Commodity; Exchange rate; International economics; Relative price; Balance of trade; Terms of trade; Monetary economics; Product (mathematics); Gross domestic product; Macroeconomics; Economy; Market economy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000646965,0.0002547527,0.001030216,0.0003612813,0.00003852434,0.00002725985,0.0004020077,0.0001527893,0.0000661144],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007876894,0.0003303671,0.0001458102,0.0001104131,0.0001228298,0.0002733935,0.0001367994,0.0001733758,0.0001065388],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004337329,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006100056,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000140882,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001389512,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971928,0.000008778357,0.001899528,0.0004922585,0.0000173784,0.0003892717],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978998,0.00016805,0.001334075,0.0004419583,0.000008473451,0.0001476582],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003267331,0.0005101945,0.2684995,0.0005194855,0.0003658728,0.000002934577,0.006047261,0.04199944,0.0006632166,0.648937,0.0007611449,0.03136715],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0124637,0.0003186945,0.5005545,0.00012588,0.00003584287,0.00001018041,0.001779777,0.01396597,0.04364233,0.3934336,0.03156579,0.002103767],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9698228,0.0003163356,0.0001382331,0.0001665438,0.000461923,0.0004719163,0.00009242156,0.00002027603,0.02850961],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9964619,0.0001952153,0.002917601,0.0001315218,0.00004986774,0.00007682105,0.00004165104,0.00003756851,0.00008790978],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2555035,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999148,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01983764022878366,"score_gpt":0.2075882843298069,"score_spread":0.1877506441010232,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}