{"id":"W2471809938","doi":"10.1162/posc_a_00229","title":"Climate Change and Second-Order Uncertainty: Defending a Generalized, Normative, and Structural Argument from Inductive Risk","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Perspectives on Science","topic":"Climate Change Communication and Perception","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":31,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Normative; Argument (complex analysis); Interpretation (philosophy); Inductive reasoning; Epistemology; Order (exchange); Climate change; Positive economics; Economics; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01713798,0.0005286056,0.0007327268,0.001667283,0.00228063,0.004652326,0.002192769,0.004181928,0.002244114],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03411004,0.0003189688,0.00101143,0.001083934,0.03551416,0.009936043,0.005663637,0.005728619,0.0003120649],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002864823,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00199096,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009930142,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0009121438,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9864219,0.008411559,0.0003865107,0.001131457,0.003056486,0.0005919546],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9559101,0.03354589,0.003147573,0.003738527,0.003049624,0.0006082389],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001490309,0.000007326257,0.0002831682,0.00002847767,0.00000782732,0.00002763464,0.001736685,0.0008663401,0.00008274093,0.9938956,0.0003829795,0.002666389],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000997584,0.000008624894,0.0001921155,0.00003066329,0.00000469523,0.0000278938,0.0005165531,0.00169024,0.0002098323,0.9940633,0.003238042,0.000008075046],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1289369,0.00256398,0.5257704,0.1476543,0.001140162,0.00008900114,0.0001348303,0.0001355933,0.1935749],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9803413,0.000366845,0.01514955,0.002421655,0.0004054388,0.00006953708,0.00002448841,0.00002795438,0.001193149],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9977193,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09063536,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2489394105576237,"score_gpt":0.4181363123408788,"score_spread":0.1691969017832551,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}