{"id":"W2490825444","doi":"10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195335453.003.0005","title":"Chapter 5 Strategic Politicians, Emotional Citizens, and the Rhetoric of Prediction","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Referendum; Rhetoric; Politics; Political science; Devolution (biology); Face (sociological concept); Political economy; Political rhetoric; Public relations; Law and economics; Positive economics; Public administration; Sociology; Law; Economics; Social science; Linguistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002096242,0.0003565243,0.0002399446,0.0005821768,0.002051397,0.004679274,0.0005624458,0.001824924,0.007717109],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002498813,0.000175553,0.0002312719,0.0006359309,0.008718215,0.003736043,0.001263995,0.003485825,0.0009632045],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003742804,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001428418,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002358141,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002558267,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998738,0.0008512266,0.00002681683,0.0001111585,0.0002019034,0.00007092547],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981711,0.00151035,0.0000623568,0.00008057873,0.0001281384,0.00004748744],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000003389527,0.000005686598,0.00007100798,0.0000165661,0.000001277938,0.00002087969,0.001829406,0.0001159382,0.00004153627,0.9867279,0.007126579,0.004039827],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007403828,0.00001245542,0.0003950464,0.0002809606,0.000004641326,0.00005335914,0.002731057,0.001339046,0.0003516541,0.6058239,0.3889899,0.0000106294],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.0111698,0.01015884,0.0127121,0.0483916,0.001126735,0.00003230067,0.00005349761,0.00005459398,0.9163006],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7756932,0.009545784,0.007437164,0.009453481,0.001516355,0.0001279682,0.0001111428,0.000170171,0.1959448],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007717109,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02715605,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05190651980106009,"score_gpt":0.2994700129086076,"score_spread":0.2475634931075475,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}