{"id":"W2498927138","doi":"","title":"On the link between current account and oil price fluctuation in diversified economies: The case of Canada","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Shock (circulatory); Oil supply; Vector autoregression; Current account; Demand shock; Oil price; Monetary economics; Revenue; Sign (mathematics); Autoregressive model; Econometrics; Exchange rate; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005895385,0.0001907968,0.0004077769,0.001281108,0.001553112,0.003136672,0.0006380056,0.0006570744,0.002700417],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004438489,0.0001295052,0.0004267022,0.002186547,0.001261645,0.001267896,0.0009022024,0.0009863841,0.000111798],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007122865,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005284461,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9128925,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.8836002,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997867,0.0000257977,0.000009331819,0.0000374107,0.00004610424,0.0000947135],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997963,0.0007261372,0.0004780387,0.0001019381,0.0004517527,0.0002792273],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002856432,0.0001071675,0.8230856,0.0001062126,0.0002759562,0.006229953,0.003179491,0.04055979,0.001626162,0.09274556,0.003606062,0.02819238],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004361098,0.00006342444,0.8396384,0.0001255458,0.0004119962,0.0009180324,0.01031495,0.105339,0.001322862,0.02797384,0.0136475,0.0002007671],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9883611,0.0009126175,0.0005957419,0.001466969,0.000009143333,0.000008842327,0.000323932,0.00001407017,0.008307548],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998604,0.0004334768,0.000121563,0.00003171062,0.000005142776,9.642416e-7,0.00009915037,0.000004311724,0.0006997338],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.08710754,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.175241,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04446281117290116,"score_gpt":0.2778672839743772,"score_spread":0.233404472801476,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}