{"id":"W2517916317","doi":"10.1002/2016wr018985","title":"Correlation and causation in tree‐ring‐based reconstruction of paleohydrology in cold semiarid regions","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Water Resources Research","topic":"Tree-ring climate responses","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Regina; Global Institute for Water Security; University of Saskatchewan","funders":"University of Bristol; University of Saskatchewan","keywords":"Evapotranspiration; Dendrochronology; Precipitation; Surface runoff; Climatology; Dendroclimatology; Physical geography; Drainage basin; Environmental science; Hydrology (agriculture); Geology; Geography; Meteorology; Cartography; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001387098,0.00007640948,0.0001444457,0.0008444408,0.00006894617,0.00002271563,0.0001095822,0.0001169437,0.0002115093],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001900599,0.00004815815,0.00001755222,0.0003164563,0.0003017217,0.0001516113,0.0000202563,0.0001839476,0.0000415513],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002223624,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002488391,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003686749,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02924939,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982108,0.0006150091,0.0002699556,0.0002569063,0.000282554,0.0003647607],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989283,0.000763057,0.00004161554,0.0001605334,0.00004466184,0.00006180502],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003258899,0.0000129741,0.9590718,0.0000242074,0.000002558849,0.00001328529,0.0006546116,0.001089764,0.01260734,0.00001656359,0.000005286282,0.02617574],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008520439,0.0001816481,0.9753032,0.0001491052,0.000001866876,0.00001538681,0.0001152183,0.01119956,0.01041721,0.0004299709,0.0012509,0.00008388559],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9976022,0.0001102672,0.0000242891,0.0008173182,0.00004010502,0.0001958774,0.00001303128,0.00001433786,0.001182638],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995707,0.00007523761,0.00007937618,0.000006345846,0.00002030372,0.000004822432,0.00001224961,0.000003686594,0.000227246],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02609186,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9884643,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04217136714822707,"score_gpt":0.2785904974429104,"score_spread":0.2364191302946834,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}