{"id":"W2518561981","doi":"10.58079/oup5","title":"From Simpson's paradox to pies","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"OpenEdition (OpenEdition)","topic":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; AXA Research Fund","keywords":"Multicollinearity; Publication; Decision theory; Economics; Regression analysis; Econometrics; Positive economics; Statistics; Mathematics; Law; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006022192,0.0004013241,0.00104765,0.002352566,0.005208587,0.00861264,0.000854414,0.003363165,0.01701583],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03687862,0.0002754829,0.0006871383,0.002683758,0.01246545,0.01070073,0.004641225,0.008147215,0.003025549],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003296537,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002480267,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003997648,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003423039,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9955494,0.001571502,0.0002417735,0.0007312575,0.001569567,0.0003364792],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9861156,0.008711249,0.0007051638,0.001544671,0.001791473,0.001131817],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000254737,0.00001299675,0.0003379705,0.00003664562,0.000008904412,0.00008668673,0.0005166243,0.0001945957,0.00002938967,0.9274454,0.05686826,0.01443711],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000143223,0.000004483544,0.0001279067,0.00005525385,0.000003090592,0.0001022596,0.0002434039,0.0003145579,0.00003713632,0.933771,0.06531478,0.00001187328],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.02844768,0.01825721,0.03226135,0.3389255,0.01137541,0.00004439761,0.0007244276,0.0003296656,0.5696343],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7686864,0.01413885,0.01610602,0.08014499,0.01222829,0.0001492845,0.000407301,0.0006674173,0.1074716],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01701583,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05692369,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07058286249456307,"score_gpt":0.3438257782259077,"score_spread":0.2732429157313446,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}