{"id":"W2522384592","doi":"10.1002/fut.21862","title":"Time is money: An empirical investigation of delivery behavior in the U.S. T‐Bond futures market","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Futures Markets","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal; HEC Montréal","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Futures contract; Bond; Futures market; Order (exchange); Economics; Econometrics; Financial economics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001882638,0.0002124427,0.0003216677,0.00108912,0.0004222699,0.001049488,0.0004068858,0.0006525413,0.003162547],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01439219,0.0001707085,0.0002484302,0.002052566,0.0004233372,0.001805653,0.0006397058,0.001090274,0.0006251113],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005355707,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000344017,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01082653,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008055614,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994864,0.0001996954,0.00005881945,0.00007416205,0.0001175893,0.00006323888],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9886509,0.006082139,0.003802392,0.0003635517,0.0005159873,0.0005850407],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006865472,0.0004259628,0.9622318,0.00005190241,0.0001032067,0.0005806205,0.001632445,0.005402105,0.0008205195,0.003719295,0.002121778,0.02222387],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002697463,0.0002809612,0.9526716,0.00004299337,0.0000518599,0.0003580163,0.003856587,0.03628253,0.0008330811,0.00165755,0.003907136,0.0000305935],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9977812,0.0002441247,0.0003468524,0.0001765846,0.000005879213,0.00001089944,0.0003457532,0.000006457834,0.001082265],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998425,0.0001738054,0.0001894283,0.00002780708,0.00001237509,0.000006873728,0.0005848018,0.000005625051,0.0005742783],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01082653,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02152699,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03548104836626473,"score_gpt":0.2641749060748072,"score_spread":0.2286938577085425,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}