{"id":"W2527824850","doi":"10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31678-6","title":"Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"The Lancet","topic":"Injury Epidemiology and Prevention","field":"Medicine","cited_by":7392,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Hospital for Sick Children","funders":"University of Colorado School of Medicine, Anschutz Medical Campus; National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; Sistema Nacional de Investigadores; National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre; Warwick Medical School; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; Leibniz-Gemeinschaft; National Health and Medical Research Council; Economic and Social Research Council; Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council; Sri Ramachandra University; Medical Research Council; Sanofi Pasteur; Fifth Framework Programme; Sixth Framework Programme; Mansoura University; Seventh Framework Programme; Universitetet i Tromsø; University of California, San Francisco; Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales; INCLIVA Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Duke Kunshan University; African Population and Health Research Center; University of Peradeniya; Nanjing University; University of California, Los Angeles; EuroQol Research Foundation; Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana; Addis Ababa University; Università degli Studi di Salerno; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental; Christian Medical College, Vellore; Göteborgs Universitet; Wuhan University; Universidade de São Paulo; Foundation for Education and European Culture; Center for Stroke Research Berlin; Universitetet i Oslo; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul; Health and Care Research Wales; Haramaya University; York University; University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; University of Oklahoma; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; National Taiwan University; University of Crete; Northwestern University; University of Bristol; Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Universitat de Barcelona; Imperial College London; King's College London; Brien Holden Vision Institute; Academy of Finland; Ohio State University; National Natural Science Foundation of China; South African Medical Research Council; Colorado School of Public Health; H. Lundbeck A/S; Università di Bologna; National Institute on Aging; Jackson State University; National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit; European Commission; Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung; British Heart Foundation; National Center for Child Health and Development; University of Warwick; Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham Charity; The Wellcome Trust DBT India Alliance; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Norwegian Institute of Public Health; University at Albany; Cancer Research Society; University of Southampton; Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri - IRCCS; Universitat de València; AXA Research Fund; Regione Toscana; Cancer Research UK; University of Tokyo; World Health Organization; International Society of Nephrology; Wellcome Trust; Public Health Foundation of India; Public Health England; National Research University Higher School of Economics; Universidad de Costa Rica; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; University of Canterbury; University of Otago; Samfundet Folkhälsan; McGill University; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Universidade do Porto; European Regional Development Fund; Seoul National University; Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; National Institute for Social Care and Health Research; Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung; United States Agency for International Development; Sanofi; Nancy R. Gelman Foundation; University of New South Wales; Yale University; Department of Biotechnology, Ministry of Science and Technology, India; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Incidence (geometry); Burden of disease; Medicine; Disease; Environmental health; Disease burden; Epidemiology; Demography; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01702327,0.001523353,0.0068195,0.01314236,0.0004680199,0.001554253,0.00130217,0.0009601846,0.002516988],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03524777,0.001206649,0.02594201,0.01738073,0.0006471411,0.001266776,0.002258545,0.001179577,0.0003709267],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002229857,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005810231,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03148397,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06433649,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9867623,0.004329366,0.005059551,0.001712392,0.001752659,0.0003835971],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9863824,0.006965063,0.003566278,0.0007458327,0.002143272,0.0001972165],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"meta_analysis","study_design_gemma":"systematic_review","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001731326,0.0000388593,0.1420408,0.3698286,0.4200951,0.0002411413,0.0006954105,0.001747171,0.0003552747,0.0009423352,0.01647513,0.04580887],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001208912,0.0003137983,0.1852986,0.1093139,0.6782465,0.0005937046,0.0004977202,0.00120012,0.0002662149,0.001445201,0.02142689,0.0001884659],"study_design_candidate":"systematic_review","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02362434,0.9238964,0.002727678,0.0007642132,0.0001824022,0.000850405,0.04718101,0.000112139,0.000661406],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.401053,0.5434691,0.01382996,0.001815002,0.0003106719,0.004993325,0.03383157,0.0001340964,0.0005633171],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.03148397,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09002876,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0439796994175129,"score_gpt":0.3625336531388893,"score_spread":0.3185539537213764,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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