{"id":"W2531211372","doi":"10.1175/jcli-d-16-0412.1","title":"Attribution of Extreme Events in Arctic Sea Ice Extent","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Climate","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":281,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada; Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions; University of Victoria","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Sea ice; Arctic ice pack; Arctic sea ice decline; Arctic; The arctic; Geology; Oceanography; Environmental science; Antarctic sea ice","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002207974,0.0003076639,0.0003025739,0.001601361,0.0002726504,0.001086759,0.0002731645,0.000310305,0.0008511539],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008139671,0.0001320719,0.000563138,0.0009873708,0.0003106751,0.0007041509,0.001212582,0.0004040622,0.000143544],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003224261,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002065747,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002680772,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001749212,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992067,0.0002334632,0.00007370919,0.0002270946,0.0001736199,0.00008528656],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.995339,0.002017026,0.001189688,0.0005946334,0.0005988767,0.00026066],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003480472,0.00006988735,0.9115317,0.00003470179,0.0002308656,0.000124418,0.0002311643,0.0630008,0.001713127,0.0007208604,0.0005218827,0.02147266],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008483615,0.00009299333,0.8467318,0.00001850267,0.00003965608,0.0001061658,0.0003758309,0.1491667,0.001416601,0.001467629,0.0005488085,0.00002687383],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9947085,0.00003661097,0.003778349,0.00003681643,0.00001350759,0.00001221623,0.000450514,0.00004831363,0.0009150872],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986852,0.0000152693,0.0006749245,0.000003565357,0.000008305443,0.000004314247,0.0005195657,0.000005829376,0.00008309582],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002680772,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01167703,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02205674235467649,"score_gpt":0.2371896884261575,"score_spread":0.215132946071481,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}