{"id":"W2539719631","doi":"10.1002/art.39973","title":"The Development of Psoriatic Arthritis in Patients With Psoriasis Is Preceded by a Period of Nonspecific Musculoskeletal Symptoms: A Prospective Cohort Study","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Arthritis & Rheumatology","topic":"Spondyloarthritis Studies and Treatments","field":"Medicine","cited_by":143,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University Health Network; University of Waterloo; Women's College Hospital; University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Medicine; Psoriatic arthritis; Prospective cohort study; Internal medicine; Cohort; Psoriasis; Hazard ratio; Physical therapy; Arthritis; Proportional hazards model; Cohort study; Dermatology; Confidence interval","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002800546,0.0003443021,0.001216196,0.000152839,0.0002299124,0.00001097669,0.0001531296,0.0001081985,0.0001374149],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001609898,0.0002090075,0.0001159312,0.0003520419,0.0005068622,0.000104364,0.0001056655,0.0001242886,0.00002603383],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001549081,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002001622,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001380977,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003042889,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969968,0.0001374858,0.00116395,0.0005997103,0.0005605866,0.0005415275],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983863,0.0002127788,0.000410375,0.0005194708,0.0003646555,0.0001064375],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008879609,0.001986777,0.8736405,0.00002955362,0.0008623148,0.00001638829,0.00360682,2.169542e-8,0.00001973244,0.0001035186,0.0001273777,0.1187191],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.03128413,0.003761191,0.961045,0.001112,0.00007068421,0.00004557594,0.001596274,3.867814e-7,0.0005084323,0.00005094028,0.0002977248,0.0002276407],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9933527,0.002998862,0.00001812812,0.0001765464,0.0002008026,0.002881098,0.00007030406,0.00003168543,0.0002698491],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9969494,0.001775968,0.0003002499,0.000007508019,0.00000654051,0.0008486363,0.00001931239,0.00004056853,0.00005177145],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1184914,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8523079,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.003851829191901082,"score_gpt":0.2251459043965888,"score_spread":0.2212940752046877,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}