{"id":"W2547058198","doi":"10.1093/ageing/afw199","title":"The development and validation of an index to predict 10-year mortality risk in a longitudinal cohort of older English adults","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Age and Ageing","topic":"Frailty in Older Adults","field":"Medicine","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Institute on Aging; University College London; British Heart Foundation; Cancer Research UK; Government of the United Kingdom; Canadian Institutes of Health Research; American Federation for Aging Research","keywords":"Medicine; Cohort; Index (typography); Gerontology; Frailty Index; Cohort study; Longitudinal study; Demography; Population; Internal medicine; Environmental health; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004437953,0.00007302366,0.000158944,0.00004986328,0.00003783807,0.000008600051,0.00004269064,0.00004037713,0.00001256745],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004275617,0.0000437968,0.00001306994,0.00008364992,0.0000582473,0.00009607877,0.00004688013,0.00005534831,5.398178e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001781362,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000264965,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000261714,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006620128,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992188,0.00004044339,0.000263065,0.000176822,0.0001838311,0.0001170538],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994919,0.0001064566,0.00008081244,0.000166686,0.00008577195,0.00006835789],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00010668,0.00004160735,0.9460613,0.00006580519,0.0000393239,0.00008710007,0.004123199,0.000001150218,0.0003807584,0.000007130602,0.00003029939,0.04905571],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001304746,0.0001179568,0.9910719,0.0006149122,0.0000279718,0.000001997351,0.000377953,0.00002271427,0.006235545,0.00003065259,0.000139785,0.00005387591],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9991373,0.00004237456,0.0001459852,0.00004513249,0.00003046506,0.0003137931,0.000007074524,0.00001041332,0.0002674391],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994448,0.00005217069,0.0003217921,0.000009386898,0.00003819412,0.00001388831,0.000005551152,0.00000634567,0.0001078292],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04900183,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1785982,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01434123612777991,"score_gpt":0.2636054678457844,"score_spread":0.2492642317180045,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}