{"id":"W2561468002","doi":"10.5539/ibr.v10n2p53","title":"Momentum Trading, Contrarian Trading and Smart Money Manipulation","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Business Research","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Contrarian; Momentum (technical analysis); Speculation; Economics; Financial economics; Trading strategy; Monetary economics; Profit (economics); Business; Microeconomics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007703077,0.00009258688,0.000208122,0.0005743802,0.0001480101,0.0002054121,0.0002300693,0.00005258821,0.002639314],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000212922,0.00008058012,0.00005130417,0.0003605634,0.00008703408,0.0004117678,0.00007831418,0.00008114751,0.0001920206],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001852578,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001525247,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001539228,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001084513,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988281,0.00002322102,0.0004035988,0.0003481175,0.0001459202,0.0002511107],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999308,0.0001179834,0.0001106015,0.0001740932,0.0002137836,0.00007557036],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006327694,0.00009910537,0.388438,0.00003575993,0.000294135,0.00001775165,0.0002553076,0.000009446858,0.002294332,0.5969962,0.004268884,0.007227789],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001036179,0.00002798764,0.740256,0.00008072409,0.000004165915,0.00001658709,0.00007373552,0.01506903,0.0001002542,0.07495224,0.1681402,0.0002428375],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8594917,0.001095008,0.01971393,0.0222099,0.001052687,0.0003791226,0.0001963603,0.00005958726,0.0958017],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9911174,0.0001222905,0.00008217998,0.00002277328,0.0002362797,0.00002625703,0.00001465622,0.00001579045,0.008362404],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5220439,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9982724,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1114736357470062,"score_gpt":0.3038008995530131,"score_spread":0.1923272638060069,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}