{"id":"W2562580352","doi":"","title":"Future of the Canadian Oil Sector: Insights from a Forecasting-Planning Approach","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Les Cahiers du GERAD","topic":"Global Energy and Sustainability Research","field":"Energy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal; Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Production (economics); Oil price; Shore; Oil production; Oil sands; Business; Economics; Engineering; Geography; Petroleum engineering; Microeconomics; Asphalt; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00009391714,0.0001630667,0.000198725,0.00009177732,0.0005406558,0.00006907085,0.0004465449,0.0003171959,0.0001853196],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001328802,0.0001125261,0.0001154474,0.0003520728,0.0003046679,0.0001127089,0.0000568951,0.0004847049,0.000008186998],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004076206,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002862187,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.7253003,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2841174,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986095,0.0001919985,0.0001988842,0.0002655842,0.0003017357,0.0004323021],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990026,0.00008287871,0.00005909121,0.0004376801,0.0001858692,0.0002318321],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007772502,0.0001464895,0.03051876,0.0002193877,0.0003251705,0.00006933581,0.02871249,0.01923323,0.0006912611,0.825184,0.006118474,0.0887037],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002254283,0.000153303,0.1080755,0.0001206884,0.0000850157,0.00006011247,0.02972938,0.03161693,0.001894435,0.3312041,0.4934462,0.00136005],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8979609,0.0005232224,0.0000210291,0.0008532811,0.0002207916,0.00009000692,0.00001016549,0.00003075322,0.1002899],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963566,0.000005472356,0.0007175772,0.0003329437,0.0003463932,0.00003987738,0.0000416424,0.00001582484,0.00214366],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4939799,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7289456,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01464001404892262,"score_gpt":0.2040348335962111,"score_spread":0.1893948195472885,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}