{"id":"W2570603590","doi":"10.3386/w23003","title":"The Effect of Education on Overall Fertility","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Fertility; Psychology; Demography; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008063767,0.0001003329,0.0002131543,0.0002825308,0.0003331191,0.00006738032,0.0007667768,0.00021322,0.0001853324],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00109753,0.00006286123,0.0001583883,0.00008538581,0.0007952718,0.00006265307,0.0001950706,0.0003785597,0.00003097837],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003563756,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002217632,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002789779,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001577851,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971142,0.001078912,0.0003376777,0.0003091095,0.0009186726,0.000241375],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9952351,0.003701455,0.0002166233,0.0002875649,0.000489733,0.00006955626],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002389696,0.00004908949,0.008191748,0.00005416461,0.00008178554,3.446023e-8,0.00044844,0.00002533495,0.00001679357,0.9300806,0.009533061,0.05127999],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001463864,0.0001492925,0.02702546,0.00008499398,0.000004289201,3.247987e-8,0.0001056984,0.00001562129,0.0002510988,0.9674882,0.004663422,0.00006549175],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2948806,0.0004276661,0.00000137966,0.004582087,0.0008413364,0.0004874331,0.0000497426,0.00000908597,0.6987206],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958654,0.0003496902,0.000008714,0.00000685154,0.0002989005,0.00010204,0.0000226948,0.000005531389,0.003340193],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7009848,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.421733,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2633589553846977,"score_gpt":0.539484479201733,"score_spread":0.2761255238170354,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}